frenzied ghoul issue?

[Badmartigan]

spawns like this are what make eq eq and not wow...

if you want easymode play wow =(

[fishingme]

Originally Posted by SupaflyIRL [You must be logged in to view images. Log in or Register.]

I'm bad at math but it seems you're worse. Someone double check but with 3 spawn points at 10% chance each to spawn means you should have a 3/10 chance of frenzy popping each spawn. With a 20% drop rate that means a 6% chance each spawn cycle to see a fbss. At 28 minutes a cycle you can expect to see one FBSS every 7.8 hours roughly, not sure how thy seems unreasonable to you. This also assumes the mobs are instakilled when they spawn etc so likely longer at 8-9 hours.

Sort of left out a factor here. Someone else camping frenzy spawn before you for, say, 4.8 hours. Then you could expect one to drop sooner, which it doesnt

[SupaflyIRL]

Originally Posted by fishingme [You must be logged in to view images. Log in or Register.]

Sort of left out a factor here. Someone else camping frenzy spawn before you for, say, 4.8 hours. Then you could expect one to drop sooner, which it doesnt

It could also not drop for 6 months, what's your point? Statistically you can expect one fbss every 8-9 hours, doesn't mean it couldn't drop on the first repop or not drop for a week.

[fishingme]

Originally Posted by SupaflyIRL [You must be logged in to view images. Log in or Register.]

It could also not drop for 6 months, what's your point? Statistically you can expect one fbss every 8-9 hours, doesn't mean it couldn't drop on the first repop or not drop for a week.

Wasn't trying to contradict you or anything, was just pointing it out

[Glorfinrod]

Originally Posted by fishingme [You must be logged in to view images. Log in or Register.]

Sort of left out a factor here. Someone else camping frenzy spawn before you for, say, 4.8 hours. Then you could expect one to drop sooner, which it doesnt

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Gambler%27s_fallacy

[Hmend]

So the FBSS farmers are Now using the boards to inflate the prices of fbss even more now eh?

Well played friends, well played.

[Bubbles]

Originally Posted by Hmend [You must be logged in to view images. Log in or Register.]

So the FBSS farmers are Now using the boards to inflate the prices of fbss even more now eh?

Well played friends, well played.

It's pretty stupid rare

AND

dang near everyone has a melee twink, so it's never going to be outdated.

[Taketz]

Originally Posted by Glorfinrod [You must be logged in to view images. Log in or Register.]

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Gambler%27s_fallacy

This.

People don't understand statistics at all, and it's sometimes painful. If you flip a coin 100 times and it lands on heads every time, the odds that it lands on heads the next flip is *STILL* 50% (assuming a truly even procedure BUT DONT TRY ME SON).