Derakor's Drop Table

[Samoht]

Originally Posted by ddxdy [You must be logged in to view images. Log in or Register.]

My point is exactly as I first stated. If the earring is an 8% drop rate chance, the chance of it dropping 5 out of 9 times is .00023%. NOT 8%.

Yes, one drop rate is 8%. But in a collection of drop rates, the chances of getting an 8% drop 5 out of 9 times is SIGNIFICANTLY lower. In fact, it's .00023%.

Which you claim is more common that lightning striking. Something with your napkin math is obviously very, very wrong.

Especially since staff has already confirmed the drop rate is correct.

The fact of the matter is, you simply cannot measure "collection of drop rates." Get a better sample size or get out of here with your anecdotal evidence.

[ddxdy]

Originally Posted by Samoht [You must be logged in to view images. Log in or Register.]

Which you claim is more common that lightning striking. Something with your napkin math is obviously very, very wrong.

Especially since staff has already confirmed the drop rate is correct.

The fact of the matter is, you simply cannot measure "collection of drop rates." Get a better sample size or get out of here with your anecdotal evidence.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Binomial_distribution

[Samoht]

Originally Posted by ddxdy [You must be logged in to view images. Log in or Register.]

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Binomial_distribution

Why do you keep linking things you clearly don't even comprehend?

[ddxdy]

Originally Posted by Samoht [You must be logged in to view images. Log in or Register.]

Why do you keep linking things you clearly don't even comprehend?

Enlighten me how it doesn't apply then.

[Samoht]

Originally Posted by ddxdy [You must be logged in to view images. Log in or Register.]

Enlighten me how it doesn't apply then.

Sample size too small. Everybody has been saying it all along, you're just ignoring it.

[Raev]

It's painful to read some of the math illiteracy in this thread.

Also while dx's math is correct, the P99 drop rate is probably higher than 8%. If the drop rates were 60% / 25% / 15%, then the math is 126 * 0.15^5 * 0.85^4 = 0.5% Which is still quite unlikely and worth a bug report, but the reality is that rare events happen all the time.

[Samoht]

Originally Posted by Raev [You must be logged in to view images. Log in or Register.]

It's painful to read some of the math illiteracy in this thread.

Or in this one. Whoever made that post can't even count to 11.

But of course, if anybody would come in here and support someone jumping to conclusions over 10 total kills, it would be someone just as simple minded.