November 2022 Election Predictions

[Kaveh]

Are they gonna take the senate? Are you guys clairvoyant or something?

[Kaveh]

The parties spent $500 million on the Georgia runoffs in 2020. I bet they waste a lot of money this year too

Imagine if we spent that money on training engineers and welders. Damn we’re dumb

[Kaveh]

I don’t think Walker beats a Baptist ministe rwirhout popular Kemp on the ballot, and Reiwa got everything wrong this time

But I know nothing about Georgia

[hobart]

Originally Posted by Kaveh [You must be logged in to view images. Log in or Register.]

I don’t think Walker beats a Baptist ministe rwirhout popular Kemp on the ballot, and Reiwa got everything wrong this time

But I know nothing about Georgia

And when you look at how big Kemp won, if Herschel didn't get in the endzone then, he's not going to do it in a runoff. 50/50 Senate again. Each flipped one seat.

[unsunghero]

I almost wonder if all the Red Wave talk caused some conservatives to figure “we got this” and not bother voting

[Kaveh]

Originally Posted by unsunghero [You must be logged in to view images. Log in or Register.]

I almost wonder if all the Red Wave talk caused some conservatives to figure “we got this” and not bother voting

The electorate turned more Republican compared to 2020 by about 2%, but most of that was in Florida, Texas, and New York and in close races it was only by 0.4%. Republicans also lost independents by a decent margin, which is a first for a party in the opposition in a midterm since 2002

[Reiwa]

Originally Posted by Kaveh [You must be logged in to view images. Log in or Register.]

The electorate turned more Republican compared to 2020 by about 2%, but most of that was in Florida, Texas, and New York and in close races it was only by 0.4%. Republicans also lost independents by a decent margin, which is a first for a party in the opposition in a midterm since 2002

Popular vote 2022

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[Kaveh]

Originally Posted by Reiwa [You must be logged in to view images. Log in or Register.]

Popular vote 2022

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Interesting, I read it was going to be less than that. Republicans also lost independents. I guess we’ll see when everything is counted

I do know the run ups in Florida and Texas are part of that though (and count for not much)

[hobart]

Originally Posted by unsunghero [You must be logged in to view images. Log in or Register.]

I almost wonder if all the Red Wave talk caused some conservatives to figure “we got this” and not bother voting

The act of voting itself, I think, is a conservative value.

I think it was more of the Maga side and I think it was more because "it's all rigged".

[Basanos]

Originally Posted by unsunghero [You must be logged in to view images. Log in or Register.]

I almost wonder if all the Red Wave talk caused some conservatives to figure “we got this” and not bother voting

If that pans out I am going to astroturf so many alt accounts on so many forums screaming about a RED WAVE in 2024

(pretty sure this already happens everywhere for everyone)