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Old 04-25-2017, 07:50 AM
planarity planarity is offline
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Originally Posted by fadetree [You must be logged in to view images. Log in or Register.]
Consider: when do you most often get desperate and try to get things going by swapping the weapon in and out? When you have gone a long time without a proc, that's when, so naturally you are 'more likely' to get a proc soon after a swap.
Varren is right, this doesn't make any sense. Going without a proc for a long time does not mean that a proc is any more likely.
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Old 04-25-2017, 01:09 PM
fadetree fadetree is offline
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Originally Posted by planarity [You must be logged in to view images. Log in or Register.]
Varren is right, this doesn't make any sense. Going without a proc for a long time does not mean that a proc is any more likely.
Of course not. But it makes you *feel* like you are, and so when it happens you get confirmation bias.
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Old 04-25-2017, 09:26 AM
Doctor Jeff Doctor Jeff is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by fadetree [You must be logged in to view images. Log in or Register.]
when do you most often get desperate and try to get things going by swapping the weapon in and out? When you have gone a long time without a proc
Not true.

Everquest is about consistency, I either do it the entire time, or I don't do it at all.
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Old 04-25-2017, 01:10 PM
fadetree fadetree is offline
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Originally Posted by Doctor Jeff [You must be logged in to view images. Log in or Register.]
Not true.

Everquest is about consistency, I either do it the entire time, or I don't do it at all.
Ok, Jeff is an exception, so noted. Hey everybody - Jeff is consistent. All or nothing, that's Jeff.
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Old 04-25-2017, 03:53 PM
Doctor Jeff Doctor Jeff is offline
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Originally Posted by fadetree [You must be logged in to view images. Log in or Register.]
Ok, Jeff is an exception, so noted. Hey everybody - Jeff is consistent. All or nothing, that's Jeff.
You described a situation that doesn't happen.
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Old 04-25-2017, 09:18 AM
Troxx Troxx is offline
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Without confirmation from the source code itself, it is safe to assume that simple tricks like equipping/unequipping are purely anecdotal. As the above poster already said - confirmation bias.

If there are 9 green marbles and 1 yellow marble in a bag, you have a 1 in ten chance of drawing a yellow. If you put whatever marble back in the back and do it again, it still and will always be a 1 in 10 chance. It doesn't matter if you drew 4 yellow marbles in a row or went 99 draws with nothing but green. Each chance is 10%.

Over time, statistically you should get a yellow marble 10% of the time. Taking all the marbles out of the bag and then putting them all back in the bag will not make a difference.

Outside of source code to prove otherwise (ie a weighted chance on first swing ... which realistically could be easily built in to the code) - I'd put this in the 'fiction' category.
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  #7  
Old 04-25-2017, 03:12 PM
Erati Erati is offline
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I always proc after I start complaining about lack of proc
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  #8  
Old 04-25-2017, 03:35 PM
mcoy mcoy is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Erati [You must be logged in to view images. Log in or Register.]
I always proc after I start complaining about lack of proc
This right here. Inevitablly it's as I'm typing "sorry stupid hammer out of charges", or something along those lines, and it procs mid sentence.
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Old 04-25-2017, 03:48 PM
Jimjam Jimjam is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Erati [You must be logged in to view images. Log in or Register.]
I always proc after I start complaining about lack of proc
I find '(redacted) sold me another goddam broken hammer' usually does the trick.
  #10  
Old 04-25-2017, 07:19 PM
Nommis Nommis is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Erati [You must be logged in to view images. Log in or Register.]
I always proc after I start complaining about lack of proc
It's coded in, like when a chanter has a charmed pet and is like, "AFK, bathroom!" and gets wrecked immediately after.
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