CORONAVIRUS Death Thread

[solleks]

A thought exercise, like taking your cat for a walk in your mind

[Hoppkins_Wytchfinder]

Thrilling stuff, do go on.

[galach]

They cancelled ESL Katowice yesterday in the middle of the event. Japan has pretty much banned any public events... I have a bunch of concert tickets for this summer... hope they don't cancel all of them as well.

[galach]

Dogs tested positive now as well in China....

[BlackBellamy]

What kind of disaster would this be without a heavy dose of bible verses?

I mean that's just awesome. You can pull a little bit, but the party doesn't get serious until the cleric gets here.

You know what I love about the crazy Mussulmen? They have some super-specific criteria for the end-times:

The buttocks of the women of the tribe of Daws will again sway in circumambulation around the idol Dhul-Khulsah.

Like nothing will happen until that specific act. Incredible!

I wonder what the insane Philippine guy from the gangstalking thread would have to say about this?

[solleks]

Imaginary disaster

[BlackBellamy]

Let me run these numbers by you guys see if they make sense. So every year for every 1000 people, 18.5 are born and 7.8 die (which is why there's all these people lately).

Some CDC/WHO guy was estimating the virus penetration rate of 40-70% so lets assume the low end 40%. Mortality rate so far is Male 2.8% and Female 1.7% but lets be generous and just go with 2%.

So of the thousand, it infects 400 people of which 392 survive. Yay!

Now, once you have the virus it doesn't give you immunity to it again (I don't know this for sure, I know that a Japanese woman who had it came down with it two week later after being cleared) but lets just suppose. Since its so virulent it's always around, so you get sick again a month or two later.

Of the 992 remaining people 397 get sick, and 389 survive.

You stay sick for a month, you recover, couple of weeks later it hits you again. Over the course of the year, you get sick four times. And every time it comes around, your population takes a little hit.

At the end of the year, you're down to give or take 970 people. 18.5 are born. 7.8 die of other causes. Now you have 980. It's the New Year and you hear a cough.

So my question is, given that a declining population will have lower birth rate over time and that this will be further aggravated by the breakdown in social services, but at the same time the declining population will reduce the transmission rate, how many years will it be until not enough utility workers show up to man the power plants?

[Wonkie]

Originally Posted by BlackBellamy [You must be logged in to view images. Log in or Register.]

Let me run these numbers by you guys see if they make sense. So every year for every 1000 people, 18.5 are born and 7.8 die (which is why there's all these people lately).

Some CDC/WHO guy was estimating the virus penetration rate of 40-70% so lets assume the low end 40%. Mortality rate so far is Male 2.8% and Female 1.7% but lets be generous and just go with 2%.

So of the thousand, it infects 400 people of which 392 survive. Yay!

Now, once you have the virus it doesn't give you immunity to it again (I don't know this for sure, I know that a Japanese woman who had it came down with it two week later after being cleared) but lets just suppose. Since its so virulent it's always around, so you get sick again a month or two later.

Of the 992 remaining people 397 get sick, and 389 survive.

You stay sick for a month, you recover, couple of weeks later it hits you again. Over the course of the year, you get sick four times. And every time it comes around, your population takes a little hit.

At the end of the year, you're down to give or take 970 people. 18.5 are born. 7.8 die of other causes. Now you have 980. It's the New Year and you hear a cough.

So my question is, given that a declining population will have lower birth rate over time and that this will be further aggravated by the breakdown in social services, but at the same time the declining population will reduce the transmission rate, how many years will it be until not enough utility workers show up to man the power plants?

Ignorant premise; antibodies

Hope this helps

[BlackBellamy]

Originally Posted by Wonkie [You must be logged in to view images. Log in or Register.]

Ignorant premise; antibodies

Hope this helps

Oh yeah, no this is just within that specific case where there are no antibodies because of the weaponized mutagenic anti-antibiotic functionality thanks Chinese weapons lab. Of course in reality we're all going to fight this off and be better for it, even that one guy who is fucking people in Unrest with that camp.

Another question, since this disease appears to ignore anyone 9 years and younger,( see TABLE 1 here) given the same curve and numbers in my previous post, how many years until Logan's Run?

[Wonkie]

Originally Posted by BlackBellamy [You must be logged in to view images. Log in or Register.]

Oh yeah, no this is just within that specific case where there are no antibodies because of the weaponized mutagenic anti-antibiotic functionality thanks Chinese weapons lab. Of course in reality we're all going to fight this off and be better for it, even that one guy who is fucking people in Unrest with that camp.

Another question, since this disease appears to ignore anyone 9 years and younger, given the same curve and numbers in my previous post, how many years until Logan's Run?

Thanks Obama