2020 Election MEGAthread

[Castle2.0]

Originally Posted by Hobart

And there was no significant modeling that gave Trump only a 1-10 shot before the 2016 election.

WRONG.

Originally Posted by CNN

Hillary Clinton's odds of winning the presidency rose from 78% last week to 91% Monday before Election Day, according to CNN's Political Prediction Market.

Source: https://www.cnn.com/2016/11/07/polit...ump/index.html
Date: Nov 7, 2016

Originally Posted by NYTimes

Hillary Clinton has an 85% chance to win.

Source: https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/...-forecast.html
Date: Nov 8, 2016

Originally Posted by 538

Hillary 87.3% Donald 12.6%

Source: https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com...tion-forecast/
Date: October 19, 2016

Hobart, so you know, the above numbers are approx 1 in 10 Trump wins. I did some math there for ya.

Still waiting for an answer: what do you call polling data with a purported 2-3% margin of error that is off by 10%?

ANSWER: WRONG

Also, you say they made changes. I asked, SPECIFICALLY, what did they change? You say go read about it. Sounds like you don't know. I'm not going to pore over 538 to prove a point you are failing to make.

[Castle2.0]

What exactly is your dear leader doing to connect to the youth and PoC of this country? At least Biden and his campaign are trying and not just complaining that women are being too sexual/outspoken. Come back to me when you have some real news. Otherwise, sit back and watch the world burn until Nov 3 (and then every day until Trump is on his plane headed to Moscow in January).

Joe the racial uniter? Eulogizing dead KKK members isn't a great start. What has he said recently?

Originally Posted by Joe Biden

Well, I tell you what, if you have a problem figuring out whether you’re for me or Trump, then you ain’t black.

Originally Posted by Joe Biden

You got the first mainstream African American who is articulate and bright and clean and a nice-looking guy. I mean, that’s a storybook, man.

Originally Posted by Joe Biden

Unlike the African-American community, with notable exceptions, the Latino community is an incredibly diverse community with incredibly diverse attitudes about different things.

Originally Posted by Joe Biden

In Delaware, the largest growth in population is Indian-Americans moving from India. You cannot go to a 7-Eleven or a Dunkin’ Donuts unless you have a slight Indian accent.

Any more? I am waiting for some low-info voter or cynical dem to quote the fine people hoax in retort lol. Cmon jack.

[feniin]

Originally Posted by Castle2.0 [You must be logged in to view images. Log in or Register.]

Joe the racial uniter? Eulogizing dead KKK members isn't a great start. What has he said recently?









Any more? I am waiting for some low-info voter or cynical dem to quote the fine people hoax in retort lol. Cmon jack.

Now do one for Trump [You must be logged in to view images. Log in or Register.]

[douglas1999]

Originally Posted by feniin [You must be logged in to view images. Log in or Register.]

Now do one for Trump [You must be logged in to view images. Log in or Register.]

Tell me the most racist thing trump has ever said. Like actually quote it specifically. It should be easy since he's such a big racist.

Oh right, he "dogwhistles", which is a super convenient way to say "he's racist, trust me, I can't quite explain why but he is am I right??"

[Castle2.0]

Originally Posted by NYTimes

Troubling for Mr. Biden in a different way is the fact that he has not yet matched Mrs. Clinton’s share of support in Philadelphia proper.

Averaging the results of the two recent polls, he has the backing of 73 percent of Philadelphia voters, down from 83 percent for Mrs. Clinton in 2016.

According to the Times/Siena poll, Mr. Trump was supported by 24 percent of Philadelphians, nine points ahead of his exit poll numbers in 2016.

Source: https://www.nytimes.com/2020/10/25/u...den-trump.html

Biden down 10% in Philly from Clinton's numbers in 2016. Trump up 9%. IN PHILLY!

Not looking good for Biden in PA.

[feniin]

Originally Posted by Castle2.0 [You must be logged in to view images. Log in or Register.]

Source: https://www.nytimes.com/2020/10/25/u...den-trump.html

Biden down 10% in Philly from Clinton's numbers in 2016. Trump up 9%. IN PHILLY!

Not looking good for Biden in PA.

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[hobart]

Originally Posted by Castle2.0 [You must be logged in to view images. Log in or Register.]

WRONG.


Source: https://www.cnn.com/2016/11/07/polit...ump/index.html
Date: Nov 7, 2016


source: https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/...-forecast.html
Date: Nov 8, 2016


Source: https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com...tion-forecast/
Date: October 19, 2016

Hobart, so you know, the above numbers are approx 1 in 10 Trump wins. I did some math there for ya.

Still waiting for an answer: what do you call polling data with a purported 2-3% margin of error that is off by 10%?

ANSWER: WRONG

I didn't recall modeling as anything close to 1-10 there are the links.

But read your own links:

With one day to go before Election Day, CNN's Poll of Polls shows Clinton leading Trump by a narrow 4-point margin: 46% to 42%.

National Polling AverageIncluding Gary Johnson

Hillary Clinton

45.9%

Donald J. Trump

42.8%

So in what way was the polling off by 10%? Answer: It wasn't

That's the answer. Thanks for waiting.

[Castle2.0]

WATCH: As Biden starts to stumble with a question about court-packing his staff immediately starts escorting the camera out of the event.

https://twitter.com/FrancisBrennan/s...14970817433601

The dude is not mentally all there. Listen/watch yourself. Unedited.

[Castle2.0]

I am glad your answer is "but muh polls!"

You victory dance for the next week, I'll victory dance for the following 4 years - deal?

[Jibartik]

I cant believe all this is coming from a Canadian lol I couldn't even point to Toronto on a globe.