2020 Election MEGAthread

[Castle2.0]

Yes, the polls were wrong.

What good is a poll if its 10% off? I'm not talking odds, I'm talking polls.

When you have claim a 2-3% margin of error and the real result is a 10% off, I would call that poll "wrong." Yes, that happened. 10% off, 7% off, and more. It's somewhere in this thread if you want to find it.

When poll is wrong by 2-3x their claimed margin of error, how would you describe that poll? WRONG.

[Castle2.0]

If Trump loses, I'm not going to fly to Canada. I'm already here [You must be logged in to view images. Log in or Register.]

I'll retrace the numbers to figure out what happened. Instead of burying my head and moving on like the 2016 pollsters. I determine my quality of life far more than the government - life will go on. I won't Burn Loot or Murder like the left seems to be okay with.

I asked earlier (and got no real response) but I will ask again.

What have the pollsters changed since 2016 to improve their polling accuracy?

Also, RCP, FiveThirtyEight, CNN, etc. had Hillary-Trump odds at approximately 90-10 close to election day [You must be logged in to view images. Log in or Register.]

[Gwaihir]

Originally Posted by Castle2.0 [You must be logged in to view images. Log in or Register.]

If Trump loses, I'm not going to fly to Canada. I'm already here [You must be logged in to view images. Log in or Register.]

I'll retrace the numbers to figure out what happened. Instead of burying my head and moving on like the 2016 pollsters. I determine my quality of life far more than the government - life will go on. I won't Burn Loot or Murder like the left seems to be okay with.

I asked earlier (and got no real response) but I will ask again.

What have the pollsters changed since 2016 to improve their polling accuracy?

Also, RCP, FiveThirtyEight, CNN, etc. had Hillary-Trump odds at approximately 90-10 close to election day [You must be logged in to view images. Log in or Register.]

I'm still waiting for Cher to move to Canada like she threatened to if Trump won in '16

[Woke Locc]

Originally Posted by Gwaihir [You must be logged in to view images. Log in or Register.]

I'm still waiting for Cher to move to Canada like she threatened to if Trump won in '16

Did madonna pay up?

[hobart]

Originally Posted by Castle2.0 [You must be logged in to view images. Log in or Register.]

I asked earlier (and got no real response) but I will ask again.

What have the pollsters changed since 2016 to improve their polling accuracy?

Also, RCP, FiveThirtyEight, CNN, etc. had Hillary-Trump odds at approximately 90-10 close to election day [You must be logged in to view images. Log in or Register.]

Ask a pollster what has changed. You referenced FiveThirtyEight, they talk about it there. To quote Q, do your own research.

Odds are not the same as polling data. Odds are based off modeling the polling data.

And there was no significant modeling that gave Trump only a 1-10 shot before the 2016 election.

[Castle2.0]

They've altered their methodology and should, hopefully, be closer to the mark this election.

Specifically, what did they change?

My prediction is with cancel culture, political violence (even cases of political murder / attempted murder), and MSM rhetoric against Trump and his supporters, the polls will be off by a lot again this year. The rhetoric hasn't gotten better, it's gotten worse.

"Hey I punch Trump supporters in the face. Are you voting for Trump this year?" "Hey do you have 20 minutes to talk to a stranger over the phone about politics?" Cmon jack.

[Jibartik]

hehe gotem

Its true though lol "u declaaard WAAArrr on christmas! we've had all we can stanz!"

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[kjs86z]

Originally Posted by Jibartik [You must be logged in to view images. Log in or Register.]

hehe gotem

Its true though lol "u declaaard WAAArrr on christmas! we've had all we can stanz!"

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[Jibartik]

Originally Posted by kjs86z [You must be logged in to view images. Log in or Register.]

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you dont have to convince me, I just am not going to vote for trump over this issue lol

[feniin]

Originally Posted by kjs86z [You must be logged in to view images. Log in or Register.]

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are you comparing coercion into a sexually predatory situation to sexually empowered women? [You must be logged in to view images. Log in or Register.]