Quote:
Originally Posted by Gwaihir
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Step 1: contract Covid
Step 2: get over it like literally 99.92% of the population who has already contracted covid has
Step 3: move on with the rest of your life
If we assume the testing is a representative sample of the population on the whole, which has a case sample in the multiple millions, in the US alone now, then we can extrapolate the data to assume nearly 20%of the entire US population has already contracted Covid.
This means that there approximately 72million people infected already with just around 60k deaths.
This means covid has a mortality rate of 0.08%
Or is a case study of over 3million (nearly 1%of the entire US population) not enough for you fucking retards too stupid to understand basic biological statistical methods?
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Considering how angry you are with our statistical abilities you make some wild assumptions about the data set you're working with, and some sweet cherry picking of that data. You're assuming a random sample and complete set when it's known neither are present. Any conclusions reached under those assumptions are open to further analysis and interpretation. If you made different assumptions you would likely have a different conclusion... I mean I'm seriously having to type this out? This is a core concept of stats. The fuck are you on about? You can't say we're bad at stats because you chose to make certain assumptions to reach your conclusion. Maybe we made different assumptions? No need for personal insults either, but if we're doing that maybe you're the fucking retard who's too stupid to understand statistics?
For example out of closed coronavirus cases (recovered or dead) in the US we have a 27% mortality rate. I can throw out "statistically correct" numbers that fly in the face of your .08% mortality rate conclusion. The mortality rate is likely nowhere near 27% though, just as it's likely higher than your .08% conclusion.
How are so many people fucking experts with definitive answers these days? You don't know shit about viral pandemics more than I do and you use "statistics are malleable" to it's textbook definition. The god damn armchair quarterbacks have evolved into internet oracles.