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Old 10-17-2012, 01:18 AM
Hailto Hailto is offline
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Originally Posted by Boilon [You must be logged in to view images. Log in or Register.]
Let's be honest if anyone thought Romney will win, they are really kidding themselves, most of the republican nominees this time around were just down right mad.
Show me a European that thinks any Republican candidate ever isn't "mad". You guys are all so far left that the left in the US is moderate to you. No thanks.
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  #2  
Old 10-17-2012, 01:34 AM
Boilon Boilon is offline
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Originally Posted by Hailto [You must be logged in to view images. Log in or Register.]
Show me a European that thinks any Republican candidate ever isn't "mad". You guys are all so far left that the left in the US is moderate to you. No thanks.
I'm Canadian actually and yea, most of us do think republicans are bat shit insane
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  #3  
Old 10-18-2012, 03:23 PM
mgellan mgellan is offline
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Originally Posted by Boilon [You must be logged in to view images. Log in or Register.]
I'm Canadian actually and yea, most of us do think republicans are bat shit insane
/agree
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  #4  
Old 10-17-2012, 01:49 AM
Alarti0001 Alarti0001 is offline
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Originally Posted by Hailto [You must be logged in to view images. Log in or Register.]
Show me a European that thinks any Republican candidate ever isn't "mad". You guys are all so far left that the left in the US is moderate to you. No thanks.
LOL... left of what?
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Old 10-17-2012, 02:39 AM
Xanthias Xanthias is offline
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Originally Posted by Alarti0001 [You must be logged in to view images. Log in or Register.]
LOL... left of what?
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Old 10-17-2012, 01:44 AM
Reiker000 Reiker000 is offline
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Hate to tell you but the election was "decided" a month or two ago. Obama's competition is a man who doesn't understand why you can't roll down airplane windows and who believes that Jesus came to visit Israelites hanging out in America 2000 years ago
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  #7  
Old 10-17-2012, 02:35 AM
Triangle Triangle is offline
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Originally Posted by Reiker000 [You must be logged in to view images. Log in or Register.]
Hate to tell you but the election was "decided" a month or two ago. Obama's competition is a man who doesn't understand why you can't roll down airplane windows and who believes that Jesus came to visit Israelites hanging out in America 2000 years ago
This is the truth. I would say it was decided 4-6 months ago TBH. Obama is guaranteed to be re-elected unless he somehow dies before the election takes place. Its safer than playing the stock market.

Somebody quote this because I personally guarantee it. I will give away 150k plat in EC if he is on the ballot in november and does not get re-elected, that is how confident i am.
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Old 11-07-2012, 02:14 PM
Triangle Triangle is offline
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Originally Posted by Triangle [You must be logged in to view images. Log in or Register.]
...Obama is guaranteed to be re-elected unless he somehow dies before the election takes place. Its safer than playing the stock market.

Somebody quote this because I personally guarantee it. I will give away 150k plat in EC if he is on the ballot in november and does not get re-elected, that is how confident i am.
Just wanted to bump this post. Call me lucky, but I did guarantee it and risked lots of plat on it for no gain.
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Old 11-07-2012, 04:33 PM
Daldolma Daldolma is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Triangle [You must be logged in to view images. Log in or Register.]
Just wanted to bump this post. Call me lucky, but I did guarantee it and risked lots of plat on it for no gain.
Whether or not you were lucky depends on your level of political understanding. By October, it was already extremely clear that Obama was going to win this election, quite likely by a large margin. Assuming you understood the electoral math, no luck (or skill) was required.

The closeness of the race was played up in order to maximize ratings. Romney had no shot in PA, Michigan, New Hampshire, or Minnesota.

Given that fact, he absolutely could not win without Florida -- which was 50/50, at best. To win without Ohio (where he was behind in the polls), he'd absolutely have to carry Florida, Virginia (behind), North Carolina, and Wisconsin (behind), and he'd have to carry all but one of: Iowa (behind), Colorado (behind), and Nevada (behind).

People got caught up in the fact that Romney was fairly close in a lot of the traditional swing states, but he was still behind, and he needed to take almost all of them to win. Look at the map. He could've swept Florida, Ohio, and Virginia and he still would've lost. He would've been the first person to do that and lose since Nixon ran against JFK. And in reality, Romney's going to lose all 3 (Florida isn't done yet, but based on the districts, the likelihood is that Obama took it).
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Old 11-07-2012, 05:31 PM
Splorf22 Splorf22 is offline
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Well I think there were some reasonable reasons to suspect the polls (e.g. the Bradley effect) but as it happens they were extremely accurate.
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