2020 Election MEGAthread

[Mota]

100k votes across three states to flip the election isn't a close election because electoral college scoreboard... sure buddy.

[Patriam1066]

Originally Posted by Mota [You must be logged in to view images. Log in or Register.]

100k votes across three states to flip the election isn't a close election because electoral college scoreboard... sure buddy.

Bush almost lost Ohio and the election in 2004 like that.... despite winning an outright majority in the popular vote

Honestly, the electoral college isn’t a probably. Civic and personality responsibility being at all time lows, however ...

[Castle2.0]

You musta forgot to read.

Wrong on the following states by the following percentage points:

Wisconsin 7.6 points
Wisconsin 9.3 points
Pennsylvania 7.9 points
Ohio 10.7 points
North Carolina 6.1 points

Slice n dice how you like, but being off by 6-10 percentage points across multiple polls/states, means those polls are useless as a predictor. They claim 3% margin of error, lol. Throwing darts mighta been more accurate.

Which comes back to the key question.

What significant changes have been made to their polling methods (from 2016 to 2020) to get more accurate results? Please provide evidence of before and after.

[Pretzelle]

I'm not doing your homework for you.

https://fivethirtyeight.com/features...t-anyone-else/

https://fivethirtyeight.com/tag/methodology/

[Mota]

Maybe just state what was wrong with the methodology instead of demanding evidence from others? What about the other vast majority of states where polling was accurate?
Why did states who were running modern voting systems like mail in voting align almost perfectly with the polls? Are there no barriers to voting with some states being worse than others? Voter suppression isn't real?

Come on masters stats man, show that education don't tell.

[Pretzelle]

Originally Posted by Mota [You must be logged in to view images. Log in or Register.]

Maybe just state what was wrong with the methodology instead of demanding evidence from others? What about the other vast majority of states where polling was accurate?
Why did states who were running modern voting systems like mail in voting align almost perfectly with the polls? Are there no barriers to voting with some states being worse than others? Voter suppression isn't real?

Come on masters stats man, show that education don't tell.

He can't and he'll continue to act in bad faith.

[Castle2.0]

Me: "What has changed with their methodology to provide meaningful polling data?"
You: Here is every article hast-tagged #methodology

I'm not asking you to do my homework - I am asking you to do yours [You must be logged in to view images. Log in or Register.] I am not trying to prove this polling is meaningful. I already showed how it isn't. If you want to prove otherwise, feel free.

"Here's a bunch of random articles with the hastag #methodology is not a sufficient answer."

Originally Posted by FiveThirtyEight

On average, the polls have been off by 2 percentage points.

Guess 2016 wasn't one of those years.

You are both asking me to do your homework. The polls failed. I proved that. You say they didn't. Glad to hear how in detail.

"I am right, and you must now show me how!" <-- Not a good argument from you [You must be logged in to view images. Log in or Register.]

[Pretzelle]

Originally Posted by Castle2.0 [You must be logged in to view images. Log in or Register.]

[Bullshit]

Nobody cares.

[Pretzelle]

'Near extinction' of influenza in NZ as numbers drop due to lockdown

[Toad1]

Originally Posted by Pretzelle [You must be logged in to view images. Log in or Register.]

'Near extinction' of influenza in NZ as numbers drop due to lockdown

this is cute, but dont forget that travel to new zealand is probably down 98% which is how stuff spreads anyways

i bet their hormone pill usage is through the roof !