2020 Election MEGAthread

[Patriam1066]

Take a day off guys we’ll probably know this week anyway

[BarnabusCollins]

One day an AI robot will set off nukes in error and end the world. Dont care which 20something degree Freemason illuminati puppet gets the oval office, just bring on Kunark, something that is real and not a lie.

[BlackBellamy]

Speaking of electoral maps, I ran across this excellent article which explains another way the media is in bed with Biden. This one is subtle.

https://theconservativetreehouse.com...r/#more-203163

In normal term-two election cycles the baseline for media analysis should be the incumbent electoral win in term one.

The accurate baseline should be what states the incumbent (Trump) won in the prior 2016 election. From that position the analysis should then discuss what states the challenger (Biden) needs to take in order to win. The reason is simple, the incumbent already has a track record -so the assumption should be on retention of the previous outcome. However, with President Trump the media doesn’t do this.

The media now position President Trump’s opposition Joe Biden as if he has already won states and Trump needs to win them back. Essentially they flip the baseline to build upon their skewed and false polling narratives. They never did this with any prior elections.

In Obama’s 2012 term-two race he was assumed to have support in all the states he won in 2008, and Mitt Romney had to overcome states Obama was ‘holding’.

It's true too - every election I remember the incumbent was always given the benefit of the doubt that the states they captured in their initial election were more likely than not to go their way again. The article is right, it was always the assumption the challenger had to 'flip' those states back. They never talk about how Trump needs to 'hold' PA, just that he has to 'take it'.

It positions the incumbent as the challenger and flips the script, all based on on the unified braying of 'pollsters' and 'pundits' i.e. professional incompetents and liars.

I feel like this strategy might have been a mistake as it hands the correct motivation and slingshot opportunity to a person widely considered the best closer in US political history, while at the same time ensuring that any failure is a critical one because that come-from-behind feeling is hard to beat.

If Trump wins this one, I'm going to put him right at #2, behind Mariano Rivera.

[theaetatus]

Originally Posted by BlackBellamy [You must be logged in to view images. Log in or Register.]

the media is in bed with Biden.

No shit, of course they are. Have you ever watched Trump trying to even put a sentence together? How anyone could vote for him especially after four years of utter idiocy and total incompetence is beyond me... He has made the US the laughing stock of the world, bringing Nigerian/Middle Eastern style leadership to what was once regarded as a first-world nation.

[Domo]

Ive read that some hardcore Trump cultist tryed to push a Democratic bus off the road or something?

yikes

[BlackBellamy]

Originally Posted by Domo [You must be logged in to view images. Log in or Register.]

Ive read that some hardcore Trump cultist tryed to push a Democratic bus off the road or something?

yikes

Technically it was a grapple attempt. Texas State Police released the video this morning:

[You must be logged in to view images. Log in or Register.]

[Castle2.0]

Originally Posted by DomoArigatoMrRoboto

Ive read that some hardcore Trump cultist tryed to push a Democratic bus off the road or something?

Read more broadly then - or just go watch the video. The white USV, who was part of Biden's staff, dangerously cut into the lane of a Trump supporter in a truck. The driver of the truck was forced to defend himself from going off the road by pushing the white SUV OUT of his lane. It was all caught on video which is in this thread.

Hobo,

You obviously have never lived near Plano, nor understand the demographic. It's #1 for highest median income of any city with a population 250k+, also lowest murder rate of any city with population 250k+. The city is wealthy, educated, and highly conservative.

Now you look like an idiot for thinking its where the "rubes" live, you rube.

But you're right, although the Van Taylor won by +10 points last time, 'it'll be different this time.' Nate Silver told me so. I think the polls have his opponent up a reasonable +22 points or something.

What do abusive ex-boyfriends and election pollsters have in common?

They both like to say, "But baby, it'll be different this time..." lol

#BADAKATHCARE
#trunalimunumaprzure
#HunterLaptop


Now, from the people that accurately called Brexit via their poll.

Originally Posted by DemocracyInstitute.org

Significantly, the President has, according to the latest findings, maintained a four point lead of 49 percent to 45 percent in the key swing states including Florida, Iowa, Michigan, Minnesota, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin.

It means he is on course to easily win the electoral college by 326 to 212 votes against his Democrat rival in a result which would shock the world even more than his astonishing defeat of Hilary Clinton in 2016.

[hobart]

Originally Posted by Castle2.0 [You must be logged in to view images. Log in or Register.]

Hobo,

You obviously have never lived near Plano, nor understand the demographic. It's #1 for highest median income of any city with a population 250k+, also lowest murder rate of any city with population 250k+. The city is wealthy, educated, and highly conservative.

Now you look like an idiot for thinking its where the "rubes" live, you rube.

I was born in Texas and lived there the fist 40 years of my life. I lived in North Dallas for six years.

Your reading comprehension is terrible. I told you who lives in Plano: Educated professionals. It's the Trumptards who are scaring them off of the GOP.

I also said Van Taylor could lose his seat. Could. What part of that word is confusing to you? The GOP dumped a ton of money defending it, so they must think it too.

The point is you were wrong. As usual. It's not one of the most conservative cities in the US.

Fun fact: Plano is the most educated city in the US that is represented by a Republican congressman. What does that tell you?

[BlackBellamy]

Originally Posted by hobart [You must be logged in to view images. Log in or Register.]

The point is you were wrong. As usual. It's not one of the most conservative cities in the US.

Fun fact: Plano is the most educated city in the US that is represented by a Republican congressman. What does that tell you?

It tells me there's a lot of smart Republicans setting public policy in Plano?

https://www.keranews.org/texas-news/...ities-in-texas

https://ctausanovitch.com/Municipal_...ion_140502.pdf

Page 49:

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Note: I have never lived in Texas but I call there once in a while to keep in touch with my brother and sister. We don't discuss politics since we agree on everything.

[Castle2.0]

Theaetatus, you gotta watch this video of Trump's best gaffes, even slurring his words and forgetting where he is. It's great!

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dke9pPkhVr4

And you're right man - the media has been in bed with GOP for decades, but due to Trump they switched recently.