Raiding on Project 1999

[Dabamf]

Originally Posted by yaaaflow [You must be logged in to view images. Log in or Register.]

To clear this up, the odds are actually 50/50 because it either happens or it doesn't.

Incorrect sir. After-the-fact odds are either 0 or 1 (it didn't happen, or it did), and before the fact odds for 4 raid mobs to spawn within a couple hours are quite significantly less than 50%, certainly under 10%. The point of my post earlier was that a rare event happening is not evidence against the event being rare.

But the nature of random events dictates that events that are highly unlikely in a single circumstance become extremely likely to occur at some point over time. And this is what happened here.

Anyway, OP is just another "I'm not happy with the raid targets we're getting, therefore the rules are unfair" post, just like the 12 we've had before.