Iksar Shaman - Solo Challenges?

[DeathsSilkyMist]

Originally Posted by bcbrown [You must be logged in to view images. Log in or Register.]

I tried, man.

He keeps dodging the question.

He got really close though!

Originally Posted by bcbrown [You must be logged in to view images. Log in or Register.]

The Central Limit Theorem is a very important theorem in statistics. It says this: if you sample a distribution, the mean of that sample is is a normal distribution.

https://www.albany.edu/~jr853689/Cen...remForDice.htm

At 1 PPM you will get 1 proc per minute on average, assuming an infinite number of weapon swings.

You can convert the sides of the dice to DoT Damages across ticks:

[Roll 1 = 40 damage, Roll 2 = 64, Roll 3 = 88, Roll 4 = 112, Roll 5 = 136, Roll 6 = 160]

Basically you are most likely to roll a 3.5, which means rolling a 3 or a 4. [88 + 112] / 2 = 100 / 36 seconds = 2.77 DPS on average.

This is what I am doing for all of the DPS calculations in my JBB example. Bcbrown is trying to use a Binomial Distribution specifically for procs because he wants to lower the DPS of the weapon proc to strengthen his argument.

[bcbrown]

Originally Posted by DeathsSilkyMist [You must be logged in to view images. Log in or Register.]

At 1 PPM you will get 1 proc per minute on average, assuming an infinite number of weapon swings.

We have 16 swings. That's pretty far from infinite.

[DeathsSilkyMist]

Originally Posted by bcbrown [You must be logged in to view images. Log in or Register.]

We have 16 swings. That's pretty far from infinite.

You do realize the 32.8 DPS number from JBB, the 17 DPS number from the Pet, and the 10 DPS number from the Mob were also using infinity, correct? I said so multiple times lol.

If a mob swings 20 times in a fight, they will not always get the expected 10 DPS. Sometimes they will get more, sometimes they will get less. But over an infinite set of 20 swings, the expected DPS averages out to 10 DPS.