Interesting - that probably explains why I can't find a reason for the excessive fizzle rate. I see streaking in the RNG, but the overall distribution of values looks roughly reasonable, and the RNG output is therefore apparently not the source of the high fizzle rate. The fizzle rate has to be a result of a calculation in the fizzle code then, but I don't know precisely what code to look at, so I will leave you to it as you wish.
The probability of a streak of five fizzles, even if the fizzle rate is .05, is .0000003125, or one in 3.2 million. four fizzles out of nine casts comes to about one in .0006426 or one in 1556. Still doesn't make sense. If the real fizzle rate is significantly higher, as I have empirically observed, that could explain the streak of five in a row on the low level spell.
Thanks and regards -
Anathuril
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07-03-2011, 11:50 PM
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