2020 Election MEGAthread

[Castle2.0]

Originally Posted by GetWokeGoBroke [You must be logged in to view images. Log in or Register.]

The pictures come from freerepublic.

Hilarious website

And you're a hilarious man.

Scientific Report Accepted by All: Earth is round.

FOX NEWS: According to a recent report, Earth is ROUND!

GetWokeGoBroke: HAHAHA FOXNEWS! DONT BELIEVE IT!

Feel free to disagree with their analysis of the numbers and provide your own, but the numbers themselves are coming straight from counties. Any time Florida DoS updates website, they catch up at that hour to JoeIsDone aggregator.

Up to you to let the rest of these thread readers know if you're disingenuous.

Originally Posted by Funnii

BuT MuH PoLlS!

Monmouth Latest 2016 Poll: Clinton + 5
Monmouth Latest 2020 Poll: Biden +5

Biden wins polls. Trump wins elections.

Originally Posted by Official Numbers

2016 D lead on Election Eve: 96,400
2020 D lead today : 91,527

Context

• Last few days have been D lead shrinking 39-50K per day
• Winner of FL has won 13 of last 14 elections, 1992 being lone exception when Ross Perot took 20% of popular vote.

I rest my case.

Go sign the "I will shut up when my side loses" petition in Off Topic forum if you're so confident you're side will win [You must be logged in to view images. Log in or Register.]
I'll do it now [You must be logged in to view images. Log in or Register.]

[Woke Locc]

Originally Posted by Castle2.0 [You must be logged in to view images. Log in or Register.]

And you're a hilarious man.



Feel free to disagree with their analysis of the numbers and provide your own, but the numbers themselves are coming straight from counties. Any time Florida DoS updates website, they catch up at that hour to JoeIsDone aggregator.

Up to you to let the rest of these thread readers know if you're disingenuous.





Biden wins polls. Trump wins elections.



Context

• Last few days have been D lead shrinking 39-50K per day
• Winner of FL has won 13 of last 14 elections, 1992 being lone exception when Ross Perot took 20% of popular vote.

I rest my case.

Go sign the "I will shut up when my side loses" petition in Off Topic forum if you're so confident you're side will win [You must be logged in to view images. Log in or Register.]
I'll do it now [You must be logged in to view images. Log in or Register.]

Originally Posted by Castle2.0 [You must be logged in to view images. Log in or Register.]

Yes, and any time they see the obvious truth.

I'm not citing them as support as if their opinion meant something, lolol. I got the numbers. D lead at 117,000 in FL now, down by 46,000 since 08:30AM this morning lol. These are losing numbers. Trump started election day down -96,000 in FL and won FL +133,000.

I am merely citing CNN so all the clowns that hold their worthless opinion in high regard experience a "pattern interrupt."

Originally Posted by Castle2.0 [You must be logged in to view images. Log in or Register.]

Bad news for Joe... RCP calling tie in Arizona. This means Trump is actually +3-5 points.

It's like when MSNBC calls a tie in one of the debates... It really means the D lost that one [You must be logged in to view images. Log in or Register.]

Originally Posted by Castle2.0 [You must be logged in to view images. Log in or Register.]

Joe's Florida lead JUST fell bellow the 100k mark down to 99,641.

In 2016, Trump started Election Day -96,000 and won FL +133,000.

Game over, Joe.

Originally Posted by Castle2.0 [You must be logged in to view images. Log in or Register.]

Wow, the numbers... the math... my Trumpian brain can't handle it.

I'm gonna write down your prediction. It's too close to call FL on Tuesday night.

Florida was called for Trump at approx 10:55PM on election night. Final score Trump 48.6% to Clinton 47.4%. You think it will be closer?

Your incredible analysis and use of trends/numbers will be noted and your prediction for election night is in.

Thank you.

2 sources. Official numbers coming from Florida Department of State website found here: https://countyballotfiles.floridados...ts/PublicStats They lag behind people aggregating directly from counties. See below.

One aggregator gets them directly from county level and posts them much more frequently here: https://joeisdone.github.io/florida/

I checked the official versus the joesidone aggregator and it's always spot on, but instead of updating a few times, he updates every 20 minutes. Scroll to bottom and under advanced Filter by vote type: All (in-person and vote by mail)

Joeisdone aggregator is at 97,739 D Lead at this moment. Florida DoS official has old data from 11:10AM @ 113,078 D lead. We've seen a 39,000-50,000 shift daily towards R over the past few days. It's gonna be 50-100K D lead by election day, and R turnout is always bigger in FL on election day. Hence Trump going from -96,000 to +133,000 in 2016.

Originally Posted by Castle2.0 [You must be logged in to view images. Log in or Register.]

No I just believe "science is real." The experts I have surrounded myself with agree with me. And you must believe the experts. They happen to all be women too, and so you must doubly believe them because we believe all women and trust the experts, that the science is real, and that science is my baseless, numberless opinion.

Joking aside, thanks for your prediction, and I'm sure you have some great analysis of the numbers, you just don't want to share at this time.

Let's chat again ~11PM Nov 3.

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[Castle2.0]

Originally Posted by Funnii

You have no idea what you're talking about if you think FL will be known on Tuesday night.

Wow, the numbers... the math... my Trumpian brain can't handle it.

I'm gonna write down your prediction. It's too close to call FL on Tuesday night.

Florida was called for Trump at approx 10:55PM on election night. Final score Trump 48.6% to Clinton 47.4%. You think it will be closer?

Your incredible analysis and use of trends/numbers will be noted and your prediction for election night is in.

Thank you.

Originally Posted by FatherSioux

Where do you get your data Castle?

2 sources. Official numbers coming from Florida Department of State website found here: https://countyballotfiles.floridados...ts/PublicStats They lag behind people aggregating directly from counties. See below.

One aggregator gets them directly from county level and posts them much more frequently here: https://joeisdone.github.io/florida/

I checked the official versus the joesidone aggregator and it's always spot on, but instead of updating a few times, he updates every 20 minutes. Scroll to bottom and under advanced Filter by vote type: All (in-person and vote by mail)

Joeisdone aggregator is at 97,739 D Lead at this moment. Florida DoS official has old data from 11:10AM @ 113,078 D lead. We've seen a 39,000-50,000 shift daily towards R over the past few days. It's gonna be 50-100K D lead by election day, and R turnout is always bigger in FL on election day. Hence Trump going from -96,000 to +133,000 in 2016.

[feniin]

Well, considering I've lived in Florida my entire life, I know how this state operates.

[Castle2.0]

Originally Posted by NotFunnii

Well, considering I've lived in Florida my entire life, I know how this state operates.

More incisive analysis of the numbers.

I grew up in California. I just KNOW it's gonna be 70-30 Trump. I know how 39.51 million (and declining) people are going to vote from growing up here.

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[feniin]

Originally Posted by Castle2.0 [You must be logged in to view images. Log in or Register.]

More incisive analysis of the numbers.

I grew up in California. I just KNOW it's gonna be 70-30 Trump. I know how 39.51 million (and declining) people are going to vote from growing up here.

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You may want to visit your local emergency room. I think you're having an aneurysm.

[Castle2.0]

No I just believe "science is real." The experts I have surrounded myself with agree with me. And you must believe the experts. They happen to all be women too, and so you must doubly believe them because we believe all women and trust the experts, that the science is real, and that science is my baseless, numberless opinion.

Joking aside, thanks for your prediction, and I'm sure you have some great analysis of the numbers, you just don't want to share at this time.

Let's chat again ~11PM Nov 3.

[feniin]

Originally Posted by Castle2.0 [You must be logged in to view images. Log in or Register.]

No I just believe "science is real." The experts I have surrounded myself with agree with me. And you must believe the experts. They happen to all be women too, and so you must doubly believe them because we believe all women and trust the experts, that the science is real, and that science is my baseless, numberless opinion.

Joking aside, thanks for your prediction, and I'm sure you have some great analysis of the numbers, you just don't want to share at this time.

Let's chat again ~11PM Nov 3.

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[BlackBellamy]

IF the election was held today AND the current polls are wrong to the same margin as in 2016, then the Electoral College would break Trump 279 - Biden 259.

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[BlackBellamy]

You can't make this up.

Obama is looking for Joe Biden. Where is he? No one knows.

Call him again Barry!

https://imgur.com/8WurLnX.mp4