FBSS rarity?

[Droodler]

Originally Posted by fischsemmel [You must be logged in to view images. Log in or Register.]

And re: all the charts, why would you take the time to put all that up there based on an assumption that you had no foundation for? Or did you actually have a reason to believe that 1 FBSS drop per 10 hours at frenzy is about average, and I just missed it?

There's an entire field of statistics that deals with these sorts of problems. I just applied it to your question.

Using BobSmith's 1/50 drop rate, here are the recalculated statistics (no time for graphs right now)

Expected drop rate: 1.24%

It's making the most with the least amount of data. Sorry I couldn't magically create data for you.

And yes, you did get unlucky. I did a G test for goodness of fit of the 1/50 chance, and the p-value was 0.1398.

Edit: Based on your results, the FBSS rate is not significantly different than 1/50. With more data, it may be. You didn't get significantly unlucky