My prediction is that the raid scene continues as is for another year-ish. By that point Nilbog will have finished the various Velious revamps, and they will release a fresh server with a correct timeline while resetting Sleeper's Tomb here. Most of the players who switch servers will be the more hardcore types who don't have zillions of plat amassed and want to start fresh.
There will still be sufficient players on P1999 for at least one hardcore raiding guild. Some people will stay because they want to 'finish' their characters, others because their friends are staying. This new hardcore guild will go hard in the paint for a while, but once the P1999 population continues to dwindle to the point when <1000 are online at prime time, they'll probably just agree to rotate everything outside of Vulak, Dozekar, and Avatar of War.
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