Quote:
Originally Posted by Castle2.0
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Bobulinski story ain't going away. More recordings of phone callas between Bobulinski and Biden insiders coming out tonight on Tucker Carlson.
This is the biggest story of 2020 as of now.
Once Trump wins, the biggest story will be why the media refused to cover the biggest story.
Oh, and how most of the pollsters were wrong...again.
Winning, bigly.
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This might be the biggest story in your life, but it's not big at the moment. It doesn't seem that it will change things.
Trump has a meaningful chance of winning the overall election. If he wins a state where one or two polls had Biden with a bigger lead than the margin of error, that doesn't make the polls wrong.
Best case for Biden is they call either NC or FL for him early and it's a long night for Trump. But I still think Trump has +2 in his back pocket (a four point shift) and could well win all the states where it's currently close: NC, FL, GA, IA, and AZ.
So I'm back to saying Pennsylvania is the real story. There is not really a plausible scenario where Trump loses PA and wins. However if he wins PA and all the other states he's expected to win or is close in, he is re-elected. He does not need MI, WI, or MN to win. Even though the modeling clearly favors Biden, he is only +5 in PA.