i like to think of EQ as a game where skill actually has a big impact on the end result. Most raids in Kunark and Velious were not really about the gear you had but about having the right strategies to the encounters, and about the execution of those strategies.
As Planar armor / random trash drops are freely available to more than just 2 guilds, i dont believe there will be any huge advantage for any guild thats raiding at the moment. It doesnt really matter who gets the Big Four (or 7 if you count draco, maestro and phinny).
If anything, those guilds that are so huge right now (because the only way you see a boss mob is by joining exactly those guilds) will run into big problems during kunark, when theyre trying to "gear up" 50 or more people for the upcoming expansion. This will lead to the same result it did back on live, downsizing, for a variety of reasons. if thats not possible the only thing the leading guilds will be able to do to stop smaller guilds from progressing faster than they are, is to monopolize the content and "cockblock" other guilds. this is also what happened on Live, btw !
But then again, as a few people already pointed out, cockblocking and gearing up is really not the issue in the transition from Classic to Kunark.
but thats just my 2cp
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