Quote:
Originally Posted by MrSparkle001
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The Dems will have to nominate a woman or another minority if they hope to have the same turnout they did the past two elections. If it's Joe Biden, well lol.
Look at how the election went this year. A lot of the battleground states saw the majority of counties go red, but the populated urban counties went blue. Why is that you think? And do you think the same results would have been seen if the democrat was a white guy instead of Obama?
Cain would not siphon the black vote from Obama. Republicans will always lose that fight. The most that will happen is they don't bother to vote at all. But they can siphon the latino vote, and possibly the woman and youth vote if they change their stances and strategy. Obama's personality is infectious and won over a lot of people. Voters are fickle and naive and a lot are easily swayed (oddly enough, that's exactly the kind of thing the founding fathers created the electoral college to prevent).
The past two elections were not about a changing demographic or the declining appeal of GOP or conservativism, they were about Obama, a man that oozes charisma and whose racial identity made minorities vote en masse like they've never voted before. Good luck repeating that in 2016.
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I like how in your world, minorities all have no agency and feel compelled to vote for people who they "identify" with, but white people vote for people whom they share an ideology with (ignoring the fact that less white people voted for Obama than the average democrat, meaning that whether the democrats pick a minority or not is irrelevant). There's a ton of evidence that minorities vote democrat because they agree with their policies (or at least they're revolted by republican policies), including statistics that were already mentioned in this thread, while there's no evidence that they voted for Obama just because they look like him or because they identify with him as a minority. That's seriously very farfetched, and saying it over and over again won't make it true.