Quote:
Originally Posted by Lazortag
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I think he would have done negligibly better. Obviously some people vote for people with whom they share an identity characteristic (hence why Ann Coulter supported Hillary Clinton, and arguably why Colin Powell supports Obama), but the vast majority of voters are concerned more with ideology than identity. Obama only got about 6-10% more of the black vote than the average democrat, so Cain would have barely done better than Romney in that respect. In other respects he would have done much worse than Romney because Romney was really just a much more qualified candidate, and also he would have been eviscerated by Obama in the debates (moreso than Romney).
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6% is negligible? I realize it wouldn't have tipped the election, but it's certainly not insignificant. Now you could make an argument that there are probably a significant number of anti-black votes that went Romney's way, which might have stayed home or gone for the half'n'half Obama instead of Cain. This may have even balanced the difference in black vote.