As far as my rationale goes:
1) anecdotal: I get emails from people who are for Romney. They are laden with statements that he is a) muslim b) communist c) not born in America d) has worsened the state of our country.
Now hardcore right-wingers may fall into these beliefs, but the moderates (the ones that really pull the election one way or the other) are generally repulsed by these sorts of accusations and simply cannot relate to them. They cannot relate to them because none of them have been proven, its like that statement at the McCain rally back in 2008 where that lady asked why Obama was muslim or something and McCain had to tell her he isn't. Moderates don't like that type of shit and distance themselves from people who believe it.
2) My beliefs on the Republican foundation: The republican economic philosophy caters to the 1% - period. Don't try to tell me about the trickle down shit, it has been proven not to work in the Bush administration. So you ask, how can a party that caters to the 1% get the majority of a country to vote for them. It's simple, the republicans adopt a social philosophy which caters to the religious and the conservative.
There is an issue here though, the religious majority in our country are not Mormon and maybe they have never even met a Mormon. Certainly in the Southern states mormons are not easily found, and your typical southern baptist will not look at them the same way he will look at a Bush or a Reagan.
Secondly, Romney is unlike Bush because he does not talk with a drawl, he does not act like an idiot, and generally he shows that he is the upper echelon of society in every aspect of his life, including his dancing horse.
Bush may or may not be an idiot, a lot of people think so, but I truly believe that he faked being a "regular guy" to win votes in the South. His goal was to be likeable, a guy you want to have a beer with, and to a lot of people he was that guy. His goal was not to seem smart enough to steer our country in the right direction. Remember Bush Jr. was from a rich as fuck family from Connecticut, but he convinced a lot of people he was just like them.
Romney on the other hand cannot convince these religious folk that he is anywhere close to the same type of person they are, and he has not tried, similar to McCain actually.
3) Obama's 4 years so far: a) stock market up 50%; b) deficit decreased (not sure on %); c) unemployment decreased significantly; d) nothing majorly bad happened, even if you dont like obama care; d) bin laden killed; e) out of iraq
If you read all this, and I know its a book, and you still think Romney has a chance, then I have a bridge to sell you.
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