Quote:
Originally Posted by Ele
[You must be logged in to view images. Log in or Register.]
This comes up quite often with camps like Pained Soul and Rotting Skeleton. People sit there long enough and believe they are "due" a spawn/drop. This is completely untrue. Each spawn is an independent event and your chances of seeing the named/item on that particular spawn are the same each time. It is the gambler's fallacy.
|
While every event is independent what makes this unlikely is the notion of an uninterrupted streak. That is that it is equally unlikely to get ten heads in a row as it is alternating heads then tails for every toss. If what you describe were true, there would be a fifty-fifty chance between getting ten heads in a row and getting ten tails, and every possible combination between.