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Old 06-22-2012, 12:06 AM
Slave Slave is offline
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Originally Posted by aresprophet [You must be logged in to view images. Log in or Register.]
While there's plenty of evidence to support your assessment of Jon's parentage (if it turns out he's not the son of Rhaegar, Martin has been trolling us all along) there's next to nothing to support the hypothesis that Tyrion is anything but Tywin's son. That's wishful thinking on the part of readers who want Tyrion to be special because he's their favorite character.

It's a huge stretch to go from "Tywin dislikes Tyrion" to "Tyrion must not be Tywin's son" when the simplest explanation is that Joanna died in childbirth, not because she was raped by Aerys.

Unlike Jon, there's not much reason as the series stands to think that Tyrion is the third head of the dragon. The rhetorical question "if not him then who is it?" is dumb because we don't have strong evidence for it being anyone right now.

I could be wrong and Tyrion's parentage turns out to be a big secret but it's not hinted at strongly enough right now to put any stock in it.

My intuition is that Dorne is going to have some special significance; Quentyn Martell's quest aside, a lot of threads are dangling loose down there. Myrcella is in Prince Doran's hands, the Red Viper poisoned Tywin Lannister and nobody realizes it yet, his daughters want blood, and it's entirely possible they'll side with Aegon and the Golden Company in war against King's Landing. With Tywin and Kevan dead, Tyrion exiled, Cersei declawed, Varys and Littlefinger working against the throne, there's nobody left but the Tyrells who can really stand against that kind of attack. And let's face it, the Tyrells are too shrewd to fight a war they may not win.

And let's not forget Princess Sarella lurking around Oldtown just as the Maesters seem to be getting up to some serious shit. The Dornish are going to be a big, big player in whatever comes next.
Dragon dreams, dutiful Johanna, the entire conflict between Aerys II and Tywin, what do you think caused that? Tyrion's especially light-colored hair, his dwarfism resulting from centuries of inbreeding on his father's side, Aerys's coveting of Johanna, incidents which occured during the bedding, Twyin's barely-restrained hatred of Tyrion, the only reason he doesn't kill him outright is because it would prove his shame to all; read Barristan's speech to Daenerys in ADwD: there is more evidence for his being the son of Aerys than Tywin.

I didn't catch Oberyn's poisoning of Tywin, that is awesome. I enjoy the Sand Snakes as much as anyone, and of course Gerold Dayne is hilarious as a wannabe Batman-type. Dorne has already lost two princes in the war - Doran is cautious by nature but but yearns for vengeance; cautious and vengeful men like Manderly have surprised us before. And Dorne has 50,000 spears in two armies.

With the trend toward tragedy, they may spend themselves on the Targaryen Pretender Aegon, leaving Daenerys to pick up the pieces. Tyrell is already under attack from the Iron Islands, and now have Aegon to deal with. My guess is that The Golden Company and Dorne ally and Mace Tyrell is finally able to prove his worth in battle: not much. They will expend themselves on each other until Jon Connington, an actual badass, succumbs to the greyscale.

With the shocking end to ADwD, Cersei is again back in the forefront of leadership; there is no one else to assume the regency. And now she will be more careful to match her base cunning... but of course Jaime will kill her. The valonqar...