I have noticed more trivial failures since the recipe menu was removed, but have been writing it off as my imagination. Tonight I failed 4 trivial smithing combines in a row, and I thought I would post just in case there really is a bug.
A friend wanted some fine plate armor, and I told him I would only charge materials cost. He wanted five pieces made, almost all trivial. In the past I have had good successes with smithing. I fail seldom, compared to similar skill level and trivials for tailoring or jewel crafting combines. I have only failed maybe half a dozen of 150+ combines of fine plate, around 5%, and most of those were even before they became trivial. I make all the sheet metal first, so the combines for the armor were done close together (so it could be RNG bad luck). I did the combines in this order:
My Smithing Skill: 175
Small Fine Plate Shoulder - Fail - trivial combine (168)
Small Fine Plate Visor - Fail - trivial combine (163)
Small Fine Splinted Cloak - Fail - trivial combine (175)
Small Fine Plate Greaves - Fail - non trivial combine (179)
Small Fine Plate Gauntlets - Success - trivial combine (175)
(pause to make more sheet metal)
Small Fine Plate Shoulder - Success - trivial combine (168)
Small Fine Plate Visor - Success - trivial combine (163)
(pause again for more sheet metal)
Small Fine Plate Greaves - Fail - non trivial combine (179)
Small Fine Plate Greaves - Success - non trivial combine (179)
My estimated cost was 375p for 5 pieces (50AC) but I spent 511p for 4 pieces (40AC). Like I said this was for a friend, so I took the hit myself. But even if this had been for the normal 10p per AC I would have taken a 100p+ loss on it. To be clear I WAS getting trivial failures in the past, just not so many and more in line with the 5% rule.
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