Lets say no more new players come into a server.
Who will play the low levels?
1) Old players making alts
2) Old players coming back and resuming play on their low level
Anybody want to hazard a guess how many new players, as opposed to old players making alts, are needed to keep the low level zones occupied?
I did a really quick guess and came up with 474 per month.
Here's what I did:
7 home cities x (3 adjacent zones) = 21 noob zones to occupy
21 noob zones x 4 players each = 84
84 x (4 time slots based on 4 hours per play with an 8 hour empty window) = 366
366 x (.50% of them are old player alts) = 158
158 x (10 days average for +5 levels so multiple by 3 for 1 month) = 474 per month
474 x 30 months = 14220 in 2.5 years for a single server
So you can mess with it to get different output. But I'm wondering how many new players are needed to occupy new character zones in the presence of old players playing their alts.
This of course hints at the complexity of determining how many are needed to occupy a zone and keep players happy. How many old players are making alts? How people people need to be in the low level zones for low level characters to level up? What is the threshold for an average person? How much punishment will they take before they quit looking for a group and just /leave?
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