Quote:
Originally Posted by Nimblerot
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As a former blackjack dealer of five years, this is how I read that statement:
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Can you tell when someone is counting cards?
Most BJ dealers are very cool and give players advice on basic strategy alone, like standing on a 12 count when dealer shows a 2 or 3, but hitting when dealer shows a 6 because dealer is more likely to bust.
If you play perfect basic strategy with 6 decks, you can cancel out the house's advantage. This strategy is based on Monte Carlo simulations, which means all the variables are feed into a computer, millions of simulations are run on every possible combination, and certain rules become evident. If you play by all these rules (which include when to double down, split your pairs) then you can play til your heart's content, neither gaining or losing in the long run. Only until you vary your bets based on the amount of favorable vs. non-favorable cards left in the deck can you actually gain in the long run. Notice I say in the long run. Any fool can split 6's and see a dealer bust on a 10 once. If you do that all the time, you will LOSE big time.
If you count cards and are proficient at it, you can raise your odds to 7%. That may not seems like a lot, but over time and compounded it can raise eyebrows at any casino I've ever played at.