Quote:
Originally Posted by Samoht
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They are not.
This is the gambler's fallacy.
One failure does not increase your chance on success on the next attempt.
Don't spread lies.
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From mathisfun.com (
https://www.mathsisfun.com/data/prob...dependent.html)
In our case, there are two possible outcomes: success (item drops), or failure (item does not drop). Think of success like being heads on a coin, and failure being tails (the difference being that our ‘coin’ is not 50/50).
If the chance in a single kill for the item to drop is 40% (success), the chance for the item to not drop is 60% (failure). The chance to get failure five times in a row (i.e., five independent failure events) is 0.6*0.6*0.6*0.6*0.6.