Quote:
Originally Posted by bcbrown
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That... that makes no sense. I have no idea how to interpret this. Do you know what a probability distribution is?
Do we need to go through this more slowly?
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I know you don't understand it. That is why you keep using averages incorrectly.
Let me go a bit more slowly for you.
In our example, you basically get 6 swings per minute with a 1/12 chance of proccing. It is like rolling a D12 six times in a row, hoping to get a specific number. Let's say a "success" is rolling twelve. Since the fight lasts 2 minutes, that means we get twelve chances to roll a d12.
We are not looking for a set of numbers to roll in a sequence (what are the odds of rolling a 6 and then a 3). This means each dice roll has a 1/12 chance of succeeding equally.
Worst case is you roll the twelve after 12 dice rolls. Best case is you roll the twelve on the first attempt. 1 roll + 12 rolls / 2 = 6.5 rolls on average to get your number. So on average you will proc it roughly half way through the fight.