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Old 02-10-2022, 04:25 PM
Kawhi Kawhi is offline
Kobold


Join Date: May 2014
Posts: 122
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I didn't read the whole thread but this 1 in 3.5 million argument is just bad math even if we don't consider all the hardware/networking issues.

There is a clear selection bias that you'd expect here. These aren't randomly selected racers from the P99 population. These people are the best racers from each guild. So trying to measure how many standard deviations you are from the population mean is pretty lol.

As an extreme example, take the 100m dash. What is the probability that a randomly picked person from the planet will run < 10 seconds? It's pretty much 0. What is the probability that the winner of the Olympics will run < 10 seconds. It's pretty much 1.