Quote:
Originally Posted by condap99
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I am sad that you think this is sound logic.
Your entire argument hinges on the concept that it's an equal probability to win or lose each race. That simply is not the case. If I tried to play 1on1 with Kevin Durant, it doesn't defy math if he beats me 20 times in a row. Please stop making this unbelievably stupid argument.
And Naethyn, while a nice guy, is not the sharpest knife in the drawer. Proclaiming 'even Naethyn thinks' is not the flex you seem to think it is.
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You sir are no Kevin Durant at EQ, and neither is anyone in your guild otherwise you wouldn't need to cheat to win.
Quote:
Originally Posted by Nutsax
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This is strong circumstantial evidence that they cheat, possibly even stronger than the numbers.
I called Trainquish and Duhtoxx stupid for getting 20 in a row, because math is an unbiased observer and there is only a ~ 1% chance of winning 20 if they normally win 4 out of 5 races.
Winning 30 in a row would change the chance to 1 in 1000. And even though they don't get punished for cheating I expect they will throw a few races, knowing that they are already at a 1% chance and don't want to make appear even more absurd.
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Another member of Trainquish who has poor reading comprehension. If you are too stupid to grasp that winning 4 out 5 races is not "equal chance" then I certainly do not trust any of your "logic".
This would be the chance of winning 20 in a row if the chance of winning or losing was equal.
Probability of A occuring 20 time(s) = 0.50^20 = .00000095367431640625or about 1 in 1,000,000.out of it.
If you don't understand an argument please do what Remen does and star out of it.