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Originally Posted by Funnii
You have no idea what you're talking about if you think FL will be known on Tuesday night.
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Wow, the numbers... the math... my Trumpian brain can't handle it.
I'm gonna write down your prediction. It's too close to call FL on Tuesday night.
Florida was called for Trump at approx 10:55PM on election night. Final score Trump 48.6% to Clinton 47.4%. You think it will be closer?
Your incredible analysis and use of trends/numbers will be noted and your prediction for election night is in.
Thank you.
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Originally Posted by FatherSioux
Where do you get your data Castle?
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2 sources. Official numbers coming from Florida Department of State website found here:
https://countyballotfiles.floridados...ts/PublicStats They lag behind people aggregating directly from counties. See below.
One aggregator gets them directly from county level and posts them much more frequently here:
https://joeisdone.github.io/florida/
I checked the official versus the joesidone aggregator and it's always spot on, but instead of updating a few times, he updates every 20 minutes. Scroll to bottom and under advanced Filter by vote type: All (in-person and vote by mail)
Joeisdone aggregator is at 97,739 D Lead at this moment. Florida DoS official has old data from 11:10AM @ 113,078 D lead. We've seen a 39,000-50,000 shift daily towards R over the past few days. It's gonna be 50-100K D lead by election day, and R turnout is always bigger in FL on election day. Hence Trump going from -96,000 to +133,000 in 2016.