[hobart]

Originally Posted by Castle2.0 [You must be logged in to view images. Log in or Register.]

WRONG.


Source: https://www.cnn.com/2016/11/07/polit...ump/index.html
Date: Nov 7, 2016


source: https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/...-forecast.html
Date: Nov 8, 2016


Source: https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com...tion-forecast/
Date: October 19, 2016

Hobart, so you know, the above numbers are approx 1 in 10 Trump wins. I did some math there for ya.

Still waiting for an answer: what do you call polling data with a purported 2-3% margin of error that is off by 10%?

ANSWER: WRONG

I didn't recall modeling as anything close to 1-10 there are the links.

But read your own links:

With one day to go before Election Day, CNN's Poll of Polls shows Clinton leading Trump by a narrow 4-point margin: 46% to 42%.

National Polling AverageIncluding Gary Johnson

Hillary Clinton

45.9%

Donald J. Trump

42.8%

So in what way was the polling off by 10%? Answer: It wasn't

That's the answer. Thanks for waiting.