i might be leading ahead to much but looks like the gpu
next guess if this is new behavior then it's the hdd failing
if you do replace with an ssd remove the pagefile as ssds only have about 10k writes to one byte
so in order to save it's life for ten more years maybe swap the ram for 8gb with an ssd and remove the pagefile
this upgrade for probably $50-$60 can extend your laptops life for another 10 years
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