Quote:
Originally Posted by Pretzelle
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iTrump '16 was an anomaly. Do you think the people that forecast these things haven't updated their algorithms? That they're just hoping 2016 was a fluke and their numbers and formulas are fixed?
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This depends on your opinion of the purpose of the published polls. If you feel they're as accurate as the pollsters can make them, then you have the correct assessment. On the other hand, a person who believes the polls are nothing more than pro-leftist propaganda designed to discourage and demoralize right-leaning voters in effort to reduce their turnout would not likely see it as any different than '16.
I tend to take your side of it. Biden himself is not despised across middle america the same way the Clintons are. I do not know that he necessarily WILL win in this state, but he at least CAN. Clinton had no chance at all--anyone who actually lives here knew as much--and the polling saying otherwise illustrated that something was broken in the system. The present poll linked above calls it more or less a toss-up here in OH right now, and that's about how it feels "on the ground" as well.
Danth