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Old 08-17-2020, 11:17 AM
BlackBellamy BlackBellamy is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by BlackBellamy [You must be logged in to view images. Log in or Register.]
https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/art...oll-shows.html
https://edition.cnn.com/2020/08/16/p...ust/index.html
...
And with the margin of error, (assuming it's the same poll), Trump could actually be ahead by 3%.
So I just posted the new polls, showing Trump closing in, or maybe ahead.

And here we go, agitprop going out RIGHT AWAY.

https://fivethirtyeight.com/features...ught-it-would/

Don't worry kids.

Quote:
But the basic starting point for a probabilistic, poll-driven model ought to be this: Is polling in August a highly reliable way to predict the outcome in November?

The short answer is “no.”
Yeah those polls that just came out? Yeah...you see those are August Polls. Ever since we correctly predicted Hillary would win back then we discovered that August Polls are uniquely faulty. June, July polls? Fuckin' solid man! September polls? Truthful!

August? Put on your mask, go back to sleep, don't worry about it. Everything is going to be all right. Trust your feelings.