Quote:
Originally Posted by Topgunben
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Here's the crazy thing my man:
8% chance over 90 minutes not so good.
So lets say you really want that item that has that % of chance to drop over that amount of time.
Well, even after 15 hours of camping said item, you still have a 43.4% chance that the item will not have dropped. (.92^10) = .434 & ((10 x 90)/60) = 15
After 30 hours, there is still a 18.8% chance the item will not have dropped.
After 60 hours of poopsocking, there is still a 3.56% chance the item will not drop.
It's this type of analysis that keeps most sane people from trying too hard to compete at the upper levels.
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Ya.
The EQ gods smiled at me when I logged in, I was running my wiz to lake rathe to get her bone rod from the skele dudes for her clicky debuff staff...
Low and behold AC was up and roaming, LUCK.
I try not to camp these things, I camped it on my necro cuz I definately wanted to do this for msyelf, and i didnt mind if it took days. Glad I wasn't pvpd out of oot otherwise I may have QQ'd or played an alt.
Again, Luck, who knows. I feel good, and I feel more resilient toward these camps now. I guess my best advice is dont get your heart set... on something in a specific time frame, give it space to come when it comes. Or allow urself to farm the plat for an MQ. Thats what its there for!