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Old 04-03-2020, 03:12 PM
Topgunben Topgunben is offline
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Join Date: Sep 2014
Posts: 1,405
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Quote:
Originally Posted by magnetaress [You must be logged in to view images. Log in or Register.]
An 8% chance every 90 minutes.

vs

An 1% chance every 6 minutes.

8/90 = 0.0888888888888889% chance per minute?

and

1/6 = 0.1666666666666667% chance per minute?

How insane on a scale of 1-10 is this math? [You must be logged in to view images. Log in or Register.] [You must be logged in to view images. Log in or Register.]
Here's the crazy thing my man:

8% chance over 90 minutes not so good.

So lets say you really want that item that has that % of chance to drop over that amount of time.

Well, even after 15 hours of camping said item, you still have a 43.4% chance that the item will not have dropped. (.92^10) = .434 & ((10 x 90)/60) = 15

After 30 hours, there is still a 18.8% chance the item will not have dropped.

After 60 hours of poopsocking, there is still a 3.56% chance the item will not drop.

It's this type of analysis that keeps most sane people from trying too hard to compete at the upper levels.