Quote:
Originally Posted by BlackBellamy
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I checked out the latest numbers and we have 640,589 confirmed and 29,848 fatalities worldwide and for the US it's 112,468 and 1,841.
The influenza kills around 30k in the US and 300-600k worldwide on the regular.
So we're roughly at 1/15th the regular flu.
I mean roughly, cause it's probably close to 1/10th because many countries are just totally lying about their numbers, so the official numbers are a big undercount imo.
The current clusters are estimated to peak in two weeks, but other clusters are just starting to become active hello New Orleans so we're going to have this rolling basis for a while. I mean this is typical of the regular influenza spread so we shouldn't assume too much difference. What I'm saying is the numbers are going to continue to pile up. I'm trying to figure out if we're going to match the influenza numbers this year. At first I didn't think so. Now I'm not so sure.
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Probably won't be able to get accurate numbers until well after this is over, but I'd imagine some pretty good statistical analysis would get a somewhat accurate number.