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Old 03-04-2020, 10:33 PM
Gatorsmash Gatorsmash is offline
Sarnak

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Quote:
Originally Posted by solleks [You must be logged in to view images. Log in or Register.]
What's going to be kicking off???
Well math son.

If one person dies as the virus cycles through, and I think we are up to 11? and this kills 1% (and they are saying this is scaling to kill 3.4% but let's use 1%) that means mathematically 1100 +/- people are or were currently infecting people while that 1% finally died from it.

That's 1100 x 20% [people they came into contact with] x 20% [those people came in contact with] x [and so on and so on] x .....

Two week incubation period before showing symptoms and just using voluntary quarantines (which somebody already broke to attend a party) and ya, I think were about the point numbers wise were shit starts to kick off.

And in case your wondering, that 20% infected number along with all these numbers is probably well below what the real numbers are.