View Single Post
  #10  
Old 11-23-2019, 05:25 AM
jacob54311 jacob54311 is offline
Kobold

jacob54311's Avatar

Join Date: Oct 2019
Location: Green Bay, WI
Posts: 135
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Glasken [You must be logged in to view images. Log in or Register.]
Latest drop info on Teal:

25 hours between Manastone drop (1am PST Nov22nd to 2am PST Nov23rd)

Spawns in order:
Frog
Frog
Eye bag
Eye bag
Frog
Frog
Frog
Eye bag
Frog
Eye bag
Frog
Frog
Frog
Eye bag
Eye bag
Eye bag
Eye bag
Eye bag
Eye bag
Eye bag
Eye bag
Frog
Eye bag
Frog
Frog
Frog
Frog
Frog
Frog
Frog
Eye bag
Eye bag
Frog
Eye bag
Frog
Frog
Frog
Eye bag
Frog
Eye bag
Eye bag
Eye bag
Frog
Frog
Eye bag
Eye bag
Eye bag
Eye bag
Eye bag
Eye bag
Eye Stone

EE Spawn chance: 52.9%
Manastone Drop Chance: 3.7%
Total data points: 50

From this we can infer a real spawn chance of 50%, and a drop rate of 5%, if we assume observed rate as being abnormally low, or 2.5% if the drop was abnormally high.

As I move to #1 on the list, I look forward to the numbers backing up my hypothesis that the devs halved the drop rate when the servers split.

And now my watch begins.
It's impressive how obsessive people get about the minutiae of this game.

I think I played half a year before I started to realize my Ranger wasn't that great at DPS compared to other DPS classes.