Like everyone is saying, it's basically luck.
There are 2 spawns about 30 feet apart that spawn every 30 seconds or so. There's a bunch of different placeholder models that can spawn as well as the courier itself which drops it. The drop itself is rare.
I've had strings of dozens of courier spawns with no ring and that equals hours or killing placeholders. It's entirely random when the courier can pop. It can be back to back. It can be hours between.
The answer is basically whether you would rather farm the plat or get lucky on a drop.
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