Quote:
Originally Posted by fischsemmel
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And re: all the charts, why would you take the time to put all that up there based on an assumption that you had no foundation for? Or did you actually have a reason to believe that 1 FBSS drop per 10 hours at frenzy is about average, and I just missed it?
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There's an entire field of statistics that deals with these sorts of problems. I just applied it to your question.
Using BobSmith's 1/50 drop rate, here are the recalculated statistics (no time for graphs right now)
Expected drop rate: 1.24%
It's making the most with the least amount of data. Sorry I couldn't magically create data for you.
And yes, you did get unlucky. I did a G test for goodness of fit of the 1/50 chance, and the p-value was 0.1398.
Edit: Based on your results, the FBSS rate is not significantly different than 1/50. With more data, it may be. You didn't get
significantly unlucky