I'm at the AC camp right now, have been all weekend. Part of that time was waiting on the list however. So far, it has been 30 hours that I know for sure, but the people that were 2 people ahead of me said they had not seen it for 10-15 hours. So for arguments sake, let's say 40 hours. So... 40 hours is 33.333 EQ days, which there are 2 chances per EQ day to spawn the AC, once at 9pm and once at 7am. This mean 66.667 chances, lets round down to 65, assuming one was missed due to KS or something, i dunno. So there is an independent 90% chance that the AC does NOT pop. This means, the probability of this actually happening to me right now is (0.9)^(65)=0.00106 , or a 0.1% chance that I am really just that unlucky... While this is possible, it is not probable. Please! can someone look at the spawn on this guy.... I am going crazy
|