Quote:
Originally Posted by ddxdy
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My point is exactly as I first stated. If the earring is an 8% drop rate chance, the chance of it dropping 5 out of 9 times is .00023%. NOT 8%.
Yes, one drop rate is 8%. But in a collection of drop rates, the chances of getting an 8% drop 5 out of 9 times is SIGNIFICANTLY lower. In fact, it's .00023%.
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Which you claim is more common that lightning striking. Something with your napkin math is obviously very, very wrong.
Especially since staff has already confirmed the drop rate is correct.
The fact of the matter is, you simply cannot measure "collection of drop rates." Get a better sample size or get out of here with your anecdotal evidence.