I'm no expert, but it was my understanding that you have the exact same chance to get skillup #2 as you have of getting skillup #202 ... it's just that skillup #202 requires far more expensive and/or rare combines.
I think it just boils down a very simple fact: the RNG is a bitch.
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Loramin Frostseer <Anonymous>, Hetch<Anonymous>, Tecla <Kingdom>, ...
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