You'll notice there's a hit for 4. It's from rune. I'll try to remove any hits that aren't possible without a rune when I do a median/mean DI analysis.
[Mon Mar 18 19:50:55 2002, The shimmer of runes fades.
[Mon Mar 18 19:50:55 2002, The*Avatar*of War slashes YOU for 4 points of damage.
So for all the hits, I parsed out just the number. Then I subtracted 254 and divided by 45. If the result wasn't a whole number 1-10 I threw it out. This left 43 hits, 24 of which were DI 10, 3 of which were DI 9, 4 of which were DI 8.
~56% of the time was max
~72% of the time was 8-10 on the DI.
Pretty high hits... but I hope you see where I'm going with this. The odds of a max round ever are almost 0. I'm just going to run the numbers for 5 hits, since that's all I saw, getting 8 max would be even more rare.
Chance of a max hit(.56^5) * Chance of hitting (.7^5)* Chance of a 5 swings (max in the log I had) round(.17)=0.0015% chance of max round per swing
If we raise those powers to the 7th or 8th power, it gets stupidly small. I rest my fucking case.
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