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Splorf22 04-10-2012 02:11 AM

Worst luck in EQ
 
So as of right now I am 0-16 on fungi tunic rolls. IIRC,

1 roll in a 6-man group
3 rolls in 4-man groups
12 rolls in 3-man groups

Expected wins: 4.91
Chance to lose every roll: 0.27%

Of course with maybe 1500 active players that means that there should be 5-6 people who have even worse luck. Now's your chance to shine! Well, kind of.

Splorf22 04-10-2012 02:15 AM

I should mention I did finally get a tunic (when my fellow farmers took pity on me), and a staff, so its not like I'm bankrupt, but still - its a ridiculous streak.

Flunklesnarkin 04-10-2012 02:19 AM

don't worry.. eventually fungi's will be worth as much as a rusty long sword with the way people are farming them ;p

Vraji 04-10-2012 08:15 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Flunklesnarkin (Post 615951)
don't worry.. eventually fungi's will be worth as much as a rusty long sword with the way people are farming them ;p

What this guy said.

Destan 04-10-2012 08:24 AM

Yeah seriously, I get bad streaks like that too. I've almost won Publisher's Clearing House like 8 years straight now but just barely missed. Literally, they inform me right before the drawing that I'm a mega-super-bonus-finalist and then somehow I miss the roll at the last second and watch it go to someone else.

It's about time you got your fungi, and I got my $5000 a week for life.

arsenalpow 04-10-2012 10:30 AM

Jarnauga was something like 0-22 on hiero cloak rolls or some absurd number in the 20s

I think worse luck would be Divinity consistently getting 70+ hour ragefire camps

elementalking 04-10-2012 10:32 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by arsenalpow (Post 616153)
Jarnauga was something like 0-22 on hiero cloak rolls or some absurd number in the 20s

I think worse luck would be Divinity consistently getting 70+ hour ragefire camps

and then you have Sacro with like perfect 20/20 on hiero/fungi/rbg...:mad:

somnia 04-10-2012 01:34 PM

You think that's bad? Back on EQ2 I ran Vault of Eternal Sleeper around 160 times (lockout = 18 hours) to get http://eq2.wikia.com/wiki/The_Praetor%27s_Guard. I think drop rate was something like 5% so the probability of this happening is like 0.23%

Within99 04-10-2012 05:27 PM

Don't believe in luck because luck doesn't exist.
Luck is childish.

Nother 04-10-2012 05:32 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Within99 (Post 616585)
Don't believe in luck because luck doesn't exist.
Luck is childish.

What a lucky guy to think like that, what are the chances? 0.27%?


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