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View Full Version : Worst luck in EQ


Splorf22
04-10-2012, 02:11 AM
So as of right now I am 0-16 on fungi tunic rolls. IIRC,

1 roll in a 6-man group
3 rolls in 4-man groups
12 rolls in 3-man groups

Expected wins: 4.91
Chance to lose every roll: 0.27%

Of course with maybe 1500 active players that means that there should be 5-6 people who have even worse luck. Now's your chance to shine! Well, kind of.

Splorf22
04-10-2012, 02:15 AM
I should mention I did finally get a tunic (when my fellow farmers took pity on me), and a staff, so its not like I'm bankrupt, but still - its a ridiculous streak.

Flunklesnarkin
04-10-2012, 02:19 AM
don't worry.. eventually fungi's will be worth as much as a rusty long sword with the way people are farming them ;p

Vraji
04-10-2012, 08:15 AM
don't worry.. eventually fungi's will be worth as much as a rusty long sword with the way people are farming them ;p

What this guy said.

Destan
04-10-2012, 08:24 AM
Yeah seriously, I get bad streaks like that too. I've almost won Publisher's Clearing House like 8 years straight now but just barely missed. Literally, they inform me right before the drawing that I'm a mega-super-bonus-finalist and then somehow I miss the roll at the last second and watch it go to someone else.

It's about time you got your fungi, and I got my $5000 a week for life.

arsenalpow
04-10-2012, 10:30 AM
Jarnauga was something like 0-22 on hiero cloak rolls or some absurd number in the 20s

I think worse luck would be Divinity consistently getting 70+ hour ragefire camps

elementalking
04-10-2012, 10:32 AM
Jarnauga was something like 0-22 on hiero cloak rolls or some absurd number in the 20s

I think worse luck would be Divinity consistently getting 70+ hour ragefire camps

and then you have Sacro with like perfect 20/20 on hiero/fungi/rbg...:mad:

somnia
04-10-2012, 01:34 PM
You think that's bad? Back on EQ2 I ran Vault of Eternal Sleeper around 160 times (lockout = 18 hours) to get http://eq2.wikia.com/wiki/The_Praetor%27s_Guard. I think drop rate was something like 5% so the probability of this happening is like 0.23%

Within99
04-10-2012, 05:27 PM
Don't believe in luck because luck doesn't exist.
Luck is childish.

Nother
04-10-2012, 05:32 PM
Don't believe in luck because luck doesn't exist.
Luck is childish.

What a lucky guy to think like that, what are the chances? 0.27%?

Daldaen
04-10-2012, 05:44 PM
IMO you should invite more druids to your fungi farm groups, it helps your rolls.

Freebo
04-10-2012, 06:16 PM
luck is the residue of design

quido
04-10-2012, 06:21 PM
I spent 150 hours at that camp before I ever even saw a tunic drop.

Splorf22
04-10-2012, 08:22 PM
Ah, was that the famous 40 robes in a row session last summer?

Nagash
04-13-2012, 08:48 AM
Worst luck? Try dying 25+ times during level 40 although my kamikaze style of play may have something to do with it...