What are the odds? Met a red99 player at random

[Fame]

There are maybe 1000 active players on red globally?

The other day I happened to meet one of you. In the middle of nowhere Alaska.

My best friends wife's brother came to visit Alaska. We're bullshitin and blazin, ya know tryin to find common ground. A few dudes in the early 30s end up talking about games. This guy plays an old game on a emulator, asks us if we've ever heard of Everquest. No way. Turns out this guy just started a few months ago and plays a wizard in thunderdome!

Two things:
1. New players are real.
2. It's a pretty small world.


Posting because I'm wondering if one of you mathletes out there could do some napkin math and calculate the odds of that happening.

I must have asked 200 Jewish (orthodox) looking dudes if they knew Heartbrand while I was in New York and didn't even get a nod out of them. How the hell do I meet one of us in a random back yard of Alaska?

[Brutality]

pras

[notinmyname]

Posting because I'm wondering if one of you mathletes out there could do some napkin math and calculate the odds of that happening.

?

Getting an accurate figure is gonna be hard. Can't just do the global pop ratio, or something like total internet users, or even total gamers... to truly figure out the probability of meeting a red 99er you need to account for a large number of initial conditions.

Good luck...

But i tell you there are more out there than you realize...

[Uuruk]

Did you tell him you quit playing years ago and only post on forums now?

[HippoNipple]

Odds of me meeting another Red99 player in Dallas, close to 0.

Odds of meeting a red99 player living in a place that is dark 90% of the winter with nothing to do and probably not much money to pay for games, not so bad.

[Swish]

Do they have better than dial-up in Alaska?

[Bazia]

the odds of meeting 1 of the 60 people playing this server out of 400 million people in country chances are pretty low i guess

[maerilith]

Hope you made gay love to your best friends wife's brother in true R99 Alaskan fashion.

[CarltonBanks]

Dallas here

[Aesop]

Alaska here.

[HippoNipple]

6 out of the 10 people living in Alaska are on Red99.

[Jazzy]

Ive met three players from r99

big deal

[demundus]

the odds are as follows:

if theres a 1 in x chance of something happening. in x attempts, the chance that thing happens is roughly 63%.

1-(1-1/x)^x

as an example, if you have a 1 in 1000 chance of winning an AON in a lottery. and you buy TS and a website for your guild, you have a 63% chance of getting the next AON.


hope this helps.

[Nihilist_santa]

^ lol